Christmas Trees for 3 Cents Each!

The newly cut tree is a universal symbol of this season. The song O Tannenbaum, (O Christmas Tree) celebrates the evergreen as nature’s symbol for this special time of year.

Some families venture out to tree farms to chose their own  center piece for home decorations.

For most who want a live tree, the most common option is a local tree lot—a  temporary stand run by a church, scouting group, volunteer fire fighters as a fund raiser and community service.  Or  shop the  Home Depot or local nursery’s selections.

A common reaction to  this year’s tree buying  is price.   People are surprised at how much this four-week home decoration costs.

“It was $250, and I didn’t even pick the largest one,” observed one home-owner.  An NCUA board member has posted about the price of trees on social networks  to illustrate his awareness of inflation.

Consumerism and Christmas: “The trial by market everything must come to

This is not a new topic.  In 1916 Robert Frost wrote a poem in the form of a playlet, or dialogue between two characters.  One is a person from the city seeking to buy trees wholesale; the other is a country person who grows these on his property.

The  visitor wants the trees for resale in the city.  The country man doesn’t want to sell.  After walking the back slope and estimating the number of trees around 1,000, the visitor offers a price of $30, about 3 cents per tree.

Frost’s contrasts these two perspectives of the trees’ value, both fully present today.

Frost’s Christmas Card

For many decades Frost wrote poems as  his Christmas greeting.  At this poem’s end he refers to the practice by saying:  “I can’t help wishing I could send you one (a tree), in wishing you herewith a Merry Christmas.”

Following the poem, I compare this offer for a tree crop with today’s prices. But is this  really about the cost of trees in 1916? Or, as he writes:  “To look for something it (city life) had left behind and could not do without and keep its Christmas.”

Christmas Trees

BY ROBERT FROST

(A Christmas Circular Letter)

 The city had withdrawn into itself

And left at last the country to the country;

When between whirls of snow not come to lie

And whirls of foliage not yet laid, there drove

A stranger to our yard, who looked the city,

Yet did in country fashion in that there

He sat and waited till he drew us out

A-buttoning coats to ask him who he was.

He proved to be the city come again

To look for something it had left behind

And could not do without and keep its Christmas.

He asked if I would sell my Christmas trees;

My woods—the young fir balsams like a place

Where houses all are churches and have spires.

I hadn’t thought of them as Christmas Trees.

I doubt if I was tempted for a moment

To sell them off their feet to go in cars

And leave the slope behind the house all bare,

Where the sun shines now no warmer than the moon.

I’d hate to have them know it if I was.

Yet more I’d hate to hold my trees except

As others hold theirs or refuse for them,

Beyond the time of profitable growth,

The trial by market everything must come to.

I dallied so much with the thought of selling.

Then whether from mistaken courtesy

And fear of seeming short of speech, or whether

From hope of hearing good of what was mine, I said,

“There aren’t enough to be worth while.”

“I could soon tell how many they would cut,

You let me look them over.”

“You could look.

But don’t expect I’m going to let you have them.”

Pasture they spring in, some in clumps too close

That lop each other of boughs, but not a few

Quite solitary and having equal boughs

All round and round. The latter he nodded “Yes” to,

Or paused to say beneath some lovelier one,

With a buyer’s moderation, “That would do.”

I thought so too, but wasn’t there to say so.

We climbed the pasture on the south, crossed over,

And came down on the north. He said, “A thousand.”

 

“A thousand Christmas trees!—at what apiece?”

 

He felt some need of softening that to me:

“A thousand trees would come to thirty dollars.”

Then I was certain I had never meant

To let him have them. Never show surprise!

But thirty dollars seemed so small beside

The extent of pasture I should strip, three cents

(For that was all they figured out apiece),

Three cents so small beside the dollar friends

I should be writing to within the hour

Would pay in cities for good trees like those,

Regular vestry-trees whole Sunday Schools

Could hang enough on to pick off enough.

A thousand Christmas trees I didn’t know I had!

Worth three cents more to give away than sell,

As may be shown by a simple calculation.

Too bad I couldn’t lay one in a letter.

I can’t help wishing I could send you one,

In wishing you herewith a Merry Christmas.

END

Three cents and Today’s Christmas Tree Purchase

A first class stamp for each of Frost’s Christmas cards would cost 2 cents to mail in 1916.  The buyer offered a penny more for each tree.  Today a first class stamp purchased  singly is 58 cents.

I doubt the wholesale price of trees is under a dollar anywhere as this simple inflation comparison might suggest.

But is price  Frost’s concern? As he can’t “lay a tree” in each card,  is the poem his gift for each reader?

Might this greeting be an example of how he wishes all would appreciate this season?

It is not about the price of trees.

 

A New Christmas Carol-An Age Old Dream

“Peace on Earth, Goodwill to Men.”   The phrase captures not just  the message angels sang, but mankind’s eternal hope.   Every religious tradition makes peace a central theme.

The Sabaton “Carol”

There is Swedish heavy metal band SabatonFrom their website: “They are best known for their electrifying live concerts combining accomplished musical performances and a finely crafted stage show-including their full-sized tank drum-riser-with energy and laugher.  The band has headlined as far afield as North, America, Australia and Japan, and regularly fills arenas and takes top-billed also at festivals across Europe.”   

I had not heard of the group. 

One year ago they released a musical video, Christmas Truce, from their albumA War to End All WarsTheir music in  a 6-minute video is set in a very realistic reenactment  of the trench warfare that characterized the front in France.

(https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HPdHkHslFIU)

The song honors December 24, 1914, when an unofficial Christmas truce was created on the Western Front. An act of trust and harmony, British and German soldiers mingled and played games together in the midst of one of the most atrocious events of the 20th century – World War I.

The background why the musical video was made and historical context are in this 25 minute video of a unique Christmas-inspired moment of peace in 1914.

This event was also portrayed in a movie, Joyeux Noël (”Merry Christmas”).   The 2005 film showed the drama of this day, depicted through the eyes of French, British, and German soldiers.

Sabaton’s musical video was released just  months before Russia invaded Ukraine February 2022.  Was it meant to be a harbinger, a foreboding, or just coincidence?  Lest we forget?

The Words

“Christmas Truce”

 Silence
Oh, I remember the silence
On a cold winter day
After many months on the battlefield
And we were used to the violence
Then all the cannons went silent
And the snow fell
Voices sang to me from no man’s land

We are all, we are all, we are all, we are all friends

And today we’re all brothers, tonight we’re all friends
A moment of peace in a war that never ends
Today we’re all brothers, we drink and unite
Now Christmas has arrived and the snow turns the ground white
Hear carols from the trenches, we sing O Holy Night
Our guns laid to rest among snowflakes
A Christmas in the trenches, a Christmas on the front far from home

Madness (Madness)
Oh I remember the sadness (Sadness)
We were hiding our tears (Hiding our tears)
In a foreign land where we faced our fears (Faced our fears)
We were soldiers (Soldiers)
Carried the war on our shoulders (Shoulders)
For our nations (Nations)
Is that why we bury our friends? (Bury our friends)

We were all, we were all, we were all, we were all friends
(We’re friends)

And today we’re all brothers, tonight we’re all friends
A moment of peace in a war that never ends
Today we’re all brothers, we drink and unite
Now Christmas has arrived and the snow turns the ground white
Hear carols from the trenches, we sing O Holy Night
Our guns laid to rest among snowflakes
A Christmas in the trenches, a Christmas on the front far from home

We were all, we were all, we were all, we were all friends
(We’re friends)

And today we’re all brothers, tonight we’re all friends
A moment of peace in a war that never ends
Today we’re all brothers, we drink and unite
Now Christmas has arrived and the snow turns the ground white
A Christmas on the frontline, we walk among our friends
We don’t think about tomorrow, the battle will commence
When we celebrated Christmas we thought about our friends
Those who never made it home when the battle had commenced

A New Battlefield This Christmas

The center of Kiev in 1943

Today’s war in Kiev

Blankets and warm clothing given to Kiev residents

A soldier and a sleigh

The beauty of the season

A Special Week of the Year

This last week before Christmas feels different.

Whether activities are secular or sacred, the sense of time becomes more acute.  For some this holiday creates stress; for others, heightened anticipation.

Whether it is Santa or the Three Wisemen bearing gifts (or Amazon or FedEx), there is a  belief bigger than the presents themselves.

In this time of awakening, my posts will be more reflective.  Why does this annual holiday season seem to matter so much, year after year?

Robert Frost’a poem, The Aim Was Song,  is about our effort to understand nature and ourselves.  Poetry is the “song” which he composes.

Before man came to blow it right
The wind once blew itself untaught,
And did its loudest day and night
In any rough place where it caught.

Man came to tell it what was wrong:
It hadn’t found the place to blow;
It blew too hard—the aim was song.
And listen—how it ought to go!

He took a little in his mouth,
And held it long enough for north
To be converted into south,
And then by measure blew it forth.

By measure. It was word and note,
The wind the wind had meant to be—
A little through the lips and throat.
The aim was song—the wind could see.

Debt Forgiveness: A Christmas Jubilee Opportunity

There are two kinds of indebtedness that are at best semi-voluntary:  medical bills and educational loans.  To receive the service or benefit, often results in debt.

Debt forgiveness is vital anytime, but at Christmas, especially welcome.

As significant issuers of consumer loans, credit unions know the benefits and the burden of debt.

The example of Canvas Credit Union’s forgiving a member’s debt recorded the highest number of views of any post written this year.

Biden’s proposal to eliminate $10,000 or $20,000 student debt is a political and legal hot button.  It is an ongoing, front page debate between the parties.

What is much less visible is medical bill cancellation. Following are two examples of organizations which have facilitated medical debt relief.  They show how a small donation can be leveraged into a very high impact on consumers and communities.

Churches Initiate Relief

The first article is an edited version of church congregations leading this effort from a  December 15 story from Presbyterian Outlook.

“Nearly 15,000 people facing crippling medical debt will receive an early Christmas present this year thanks to congregations in the Synod of Mid-America and in neighboring states.

“Congregations in Kansas, Missouri and southwestern Illinois raised almost $58,000 as part of Project Jubilee during a coordinated effort to buy $13.3 million in medical debt held by low-income people in five states. Churches and mid councils partnered with RIP Medical Debt, a national nonprofit that to date has eliminated nearly $7.4 billion in medical debt held by low-income individuals.

“RIP Medical Debt used the money raised through Project Jubilee to purchase past due, unpayable medical debt on the open debt collection market at a substantial discount. The Project Jubilee campaign also opted to extend its reach to acquire medical debt portfolios in Kentucky and Tennessee, in addition to the participating congregations’ three home states.

“The 14,815 people benefitting from Project Jubilee are receiving letters this month informing them their medical debt has been forgiven in full. Medical debt abolishment is source-based and therefore cannot be requested. RIP purchases and abolishes medical debt for people who are four times or below the federal poverty level or have a medical debt that is 5% or more of their gross annual income.”

Local Governments Step Up

The non-profit journalism site Next City, describes examples of local governments meeting this need and the critical role of the 501C3 nonprofit RIP Medical.

“Toledo City Council just approved a plan to turn $1.6 million in public dollars into as much as $240 million in economic stimulus, targeted at some of the Ohio metro’s most vulnerable residents.

“It’s really going to help people put food on the table, help them pay their rent, help them pay their utilities,” says Toledo City Council Member Michele Grim, who led the way for the measure. “Hopefully we can prevent some evictions.”

“The strategy couldn’t be simpler: It works by canceling millions in medical debt.

“Working with the New York City-based nonprofit RIP Medical Debt, the City of Toledo and the surrounding Lucas County are chipping in $800,000 each out of their federal COVID-19 recovery funds from the American Rescue Plan Act. The combined $1.6 million in funding is enough for RIP Medical Debt to acquire and cancel up to $240 million in medical debt owed by Lucas County households that earn up to 400% of the federal poverty line.

“It could be more than a one-to-100 return on investment of government dollars,” Grim says. “I really can’t think of a more simple program for economic recovery or a better way of using American Rescue Plan dollars, because it’s supposed to rescue Americans.”

“Under the RIP Medical Debt model, there is no application process to cancel medical debt. The nonprofit negotiates directly with local hospitals or hospital systems one-by-one, purchasing portfolios of debt owed by eligible households and canceling the entire portfolio en masse.

“One day someone will get a letter saying your debt’s been canceled,” Grim says. It’s a simple strategy for economic welfare and recovery.

RIP Medical Debt was founded in 2014 by a pair of former debt collection agents. Since inception it has acquired and canceled more than $7.4 billion in medical debt owed by 4.2 million households — an average of $1,737 per household.

The Medical Debt Burden

“An estimated one in five households across the U.S. have some amount of medical debt, and they are disproportionately Black and Latino, according to the U.S. Census Bureau. The average amount owed is $2,000. And the problem isn’t limited to the uninsured. Many households with health insurance still end up with unpaid medical bills because the only health insurance plans affordable to them are high-deductible plans.

“Acquiring medical debt is relatively cheap: hospitals that sell medical debt portfolios do so for just pennies on the dollar, usually to investors on the secondary market. The purchase price is so low because hospitals and debt buyers alike know that medical debt is the hardest form to collect. Nearly 60% of all debt held by collection agencies is medical debt owed by some 43 million households, according to the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau.

“Two years ago, RIP Medical Debt started going directly to hospital systems and offering to buy the debt that they were holding on their balance sheets.

“I couldn’t tell you where it comes from, but generally the number that’s out there is that only somewhere between 20% and 30% of hospitals overall sell their debt,” RIP’s CEO says. “That’s a lot of hospitals that don’t sell their debt on the secondary market, but those same hospitals will sell their debt to us because we’re doing it for a different purpose. So we’ve been able to open up part of the market to buy debt from hospitals that don’t otherwise sell their debt.”

“Today nearly 50% of the debt the nonprofit has canceled was acquired directly from hospitals, and that segment of its portfolio is growing much faster than medical debt purchased from the secondary market.

The process is straightforward. After explaining RIP Medical Debt and its mission, they answer any questions including about reimbursement or regulatory issues, Sesso says. “And then we take it from there. We sign a non-disclosure agreement, we get a file from them, we analyze it, we come back to them and tell them what the analysis has shown, how much of it qualifies, what we would pay, and then we sign another agreement that transfers the debt to us, we send them a wire, and we start sending out letters.”

“Just like that, hundreds of lives are changed.

“Under IRS regulations, debts canceled under RIP Medical Debt’s model do not count as taxable income for households.”  End

Cancelling Debt: A Jubilee Initiative and Coop Benefit

As credit unions consider yearend bonus dividends, employee gain-share payouts and community donations, RIP is one of the most effective and consequential debt relief programs I have seen.

The nonprofit would be the perfect partner for all consumers carrying medical debt in a credit union’s market area.  It is the ideal compliment to the lending side of the business.

Or imitate Canvas Credit Union.   A cooperative could review its own portfolio of loans for medical expenses, look at each members’ circumstances and initiate its own debt forgiveness program.

The VSE Merger:  Will “Potters” Take Over the Credit Union Movement?

In the It’s a Wonderful Life movie classic, George Bailey is granted his wish and gets to see what life would’ve been like had he never been born. He’s shocked by the results.

There was no one to fight for market competition, equality, opportunity and ownership for the working poor and middle class.  Bedford Falls is renamed Pottersville.

Pottersville is packed with bars, strip clubs, casinos, and pawn shops. It’s full of cops and traffic and lights and noise and strangers. It’s filled with colder, harder people, with more violence, gambling, mental illness, debt, and rampant consumerism.

As George Bailey stated:

“Just remember this, Mr. Potter: That this rabble you’re talking about, they do most of the working and paying and living and dying in this community.” 

The Vermont Members’ Perspective

Yesterday’s post presented a long-standing loyal member’s critique of the Vermont State Employees (VSE) merger with New England FCU (NEFCU).  His objections included:

  • Merging two competitors eliminates the choice of credit union services for both members and the Vermont public. Together they will hold 42% of the credit union market.
  • The cancellation of the VSE’s state charter eliminates its community FOM open to anyone living or working in Vermont, as well as unique state authorities such as equity investments in other coops. The FCU charter is a multi-common bond composed of multiple SEGS and associations, governed by federal law and regulation.
  • The members receive nothing, no bonus dividends or payouts, from their common wealth of over $100 million. Their patronage created this equity.  It is now transferred to the total control of a new board to use solely as they wish.
  • The names say it all about the marketplace priority of each organization. “Vermont State” signals a focused business model, featuring environmental initiatives, creative partnerships and cooperative culture described in the September 2021 Callahan Quarterly Report. The name “New England,” formerly IBM employees, now includes groups in 4 Michigan counties, related Blue Cross Blue shield organizations throughout the state, as well as groups in ME, MASS, RI and CA.
  • The Notice of merger provides no specific benefits, services or value not currently within in the capability of the VSE to do by itself.
  • The future political leadership of the members’ $1.1 billion is in the control of  six NEFCU directors versus only five from VSECU. All VSECU directors, but only three NEFCU, will be up for election by members in 2023.
  • The average salary in VSE’s home office, Montpelier, is $46,000 and at the 90th percentile is $84,000. The 190 VSECU staff’s average as of September 2022 was $101,000. Independent professional careers are now “co-employees” until redundancies begin after the operational conversions are complete.
  • The transaction has no financial or market-based rationale.  Had members been bank shareholders, their book value and historical performance would have warranted a payout of $150 million or more to the owners. Instead the entire franchise is transferred free to another organization.  It makes no sense.

The Motive for the Merger

How did this idea of merging two “financially strong” credit unions arise?   In a  May 2016 interview with VT Digger,  Rob Miller talks of his “learnings” after being hired to the VSE CEO position, his first job in credit  unions:

“I thought it would be boring, frankly, to work at a bank,” he said.

Then he learned about the organization’s mission, that it was a not-for-profit financial cooperative, and that anyone in Vermont could be a member.

“VSECU’s mission – to improve the lives of Vermonters – that really spoke to me.” 

“I suddenly saw an organization that had the capacity and the resources to really fulfill its mission,” he said.

His background isn’t one that typically leads to the position like he now holds, he admits.

“My first day as CEO was my first day working at a credit union. That was a big step for the board to hire outside of the industry.”

He lights up when he talks about VSECU’s latest initiative, to offer equity financing to cooperatives in Vermont, which typically only have access to debt financing. (not an FCU option)

“Coops are an important part of any regional economic development strategy,” he said. “They are locally owned, and the owners are the customers – it’s a business model that is inherently more sustainable,” he said. “It’s like paying yourself. That’s a natural incentive for success.”

“At our core, we are a cooperative. We embody people coming together to help one another,” he said.

These sentiments are certainly proper.  In light of his merger initiative, the remarks suggest that human nature cannot always be nurtured.

In contrast, the CEO of NEFCU has held the top position since 1987 (almost 36 years) and will continue in that role after merger.  Miller, as CEO of VSECU arrived in 2014, inheriting 65 years of members’ loyalty, resources and institutional success.  He will be President and COO of the newly combined operations.

Here is a 1.34 minute video of the two men talking about this “partnership” and why a new name is important to “building a new organization.”

It is easy to understand how the two CEO’s developed the transaction between themselves, and then sold it their boards and staff.  Their motivations are straight forward. It was a succession plan and capstone for the CEO nearing retirement.  For VSE’s Miller it was a personal opportunity  to take over a firm almost three times the size of his current job.   A win for both, at the members’ expense.

No one would want stop a CEO from moving to a new job at a larger credit union.  Happens all the time.  But in this case the circumstance of the CEO bringing his  credit union with him to this new job  is highly unusual.

In the video the two men talk smoothly about “building a new organization” of 500 people.  This necessitates a new name since the legacy of the old ones would hinder this process. This marketing video was part of the sales campaign.  All members need to do is just vote their approval.

If you believe this “new organization” is built on the movement’s uniqueness, listen for the number of times the words cooperative or credit union are used.  Or how this merger helps members.   Zero. There are no beliefs like those used in Miller’s  Digger awakening interview above.

This short video is professionally staged, in a garden-like setting, background theme music, the casual dress and coffee cups on the table creating an impression of shared camaraderie.  It is all  part of the grift.

Skating on Thin Ice

A transaction so shallow suggests this merger of these previously sound credit unions may not be as straight forward as presented.  Without a carefully considered roadmap, all the hard issues have been kicked down the road.

Here are several reasons why this merger, like many, may end up reducing, not enhancing member value.

  1. 49% of the members who voted opposed the plan. Only 316 votes separated the yeas from those opposed out of a membership of over 71,000. No firm would proceed with an effort in which half of the “customers” who use the service, openly oppose the proposed changes.  It shows a management and board with their minds made up, blind to how members believe in their credit union.
  2. The economy is reversing the tidal wave of deposits from the Covid era. It is now in a new cycle of rapidly rising rates, increasing consumer uncertainty, lower liquidity, and the prospect of recession. Whether it is the distraction of the merger effort or just market forces, both credit unions are under-performing their historical trends.

In September VSE reported $25.3 million in borrowings as 12-month share growth fell to just 1.8%.  Even with a $20 million increase in shares, the credit union’s dollar dividends to members fell 28% from the prior year. Members are paying the price for this underperformance.  The credit union reduced its average cost of funds to  just 16 basis points, even though short term rates have risen to almost 4%.  The unrealized loss on the $136 million of investments went from nil to $25 million over the past year.

  1. The reason for merger in the member Notice “facing. . . the challenges of an aging Vermont population and slow to no growth” does not mean there is no more market opportunity. In fact credit unions lost 3% points ($180 million) in Vermont’s deposit market share to banks to fall to 22% as of June 30, 2022. In mortgage lending credit unions held a 24% share of the $6.2 billion total of HMDA reported loans closed in VT.

Prospects are so poor in Vermont that the plan is to take members deposits and earnings and invest those out of state.  A sure fire way to retain Vermonters loyalty!

  1. There will be hundreds of thousands of dollars in new merger related costs for conversions, vendor contract cancellations and benefit plan payments. Then additional expenses to create a brand identity for the “new organization” requiring extraordinary market promotion efforts, again at members expense.   The legacy goodwill and existing reputation values are forfeited.
  2.  Members will see through the thin façade of explanations and vote again-with their money. Why support a new organization with no track record of accomplishment and that destroyed the contributions they made to building their prior credit unions?

Throwing members under the bus to support an undefined merger plan is not a sustainable strategy.

Will the Potters of the World Win?

It’s a Wonderful Life portrays the eternal conflict in a market economy between self-interest and those who believe in community values and stability.  These two CEO’s are following Potter’s model, putting their futures ahead of their responsibility to members.   The two Boards bought into the shell game; the employees put their names in the merger Notice in contrast to the values they had expressed making VSE truly special.

As the shallowness of this effort becomes more exposed, it won’t just be the members who will pay the price; the employees will learn that $100,000 plus jobs are a luxury when institutional success is the primary goal.

VSE member Don Kreis  foresaw this possibility in his comment letterIf the $1.1 billion Vermont State Employees Credit Union cannot stand alone, cannot be just as convenient as a bank while giving members more value and more control than a for-profit financial institution can, then combining with another credit union is a waste of time. 

The problem is not size or resources.  It is a market-based society’s ever-present challenge of balancing personal self interest and community.  In an earlier blog, The Tragedy of the Commons, I expressed the view that this and similar mergers were a test of whether a unique credit union system can survive:

A coop system reliant on values as a differentiator cannot long continue with coops and market capitalist wannabes side by side.  For the latter will continue to prey on the former until everyone joins in the rush to get their share of cooperative gold.

Democratic coops should deliver more than for-profit banks. We need more Don Keis’s  in the movement– people of goodwill who serve, who are pro-human and who knit together the fabric of society.

We need more Bailey-like credit unions that give, that contribute, and that cement communal stability.

Taking easy money is brutally hard on members.

It’s also hard on the soul.

 

If George Bailey Were a Credit Union Member

This is the comment George  would have written about the Vermont State Employees Credit Union  merger proposal with New England FCU.

We all remember George Bailey from the holiday film classic set in the fictional Bedford Falls.  Here is a quick synopsis from a writer who maintains the story is a dire warning about today.  And perhaps the credit union movement?

It’s A Wonderful Life  (Jared Brock)

For those who haven’t seen the movie — no judgment, but what are you doing with your life?! — it’s a story about an angel who is sent from heaven to help a desperately frustrated businessman by showing him what life would have been like if he had never existed.

But the B-story is a prophecy about the times in which we live.

George Bailey (played by the great Jimmy Stewart) runs the Bailey Bros Buildings and Loan Association, a company that contributes to the community by building affordable homes for owner-occupiers.

Henry F. Potter hates George’s guts. Rather than contribute to the town of Bedford Falls, Potter’s full-time job is extraction — he owns the bank, the bus lines, the department stores, and plays slumlord to a tenement called Potter’s Field.

While Potter dreams of bankrupting the Baileys so he can create a housing monopoly to milk the middle class to permanent poverty, George Bailey dreams of building “airfields, skyscrapers a hundred stories high, bridges a mile long.”

But George Bailey’s day-to-day goal is singular:

To help every working family own their own home.

The Member’s Appraisal of the Merger

Donald Kreis, a long-time credit union fan, responded to VSE’s proposal  to end the credit union’s 75-year charter. His comment letter as filed with NCUA:

Greetings from New Hampshire – birthplace of the U.S. credit union movement!

From the other side of the Connecticut River, the plan to merge the Vermont State Employees Credit Union (VSECU) out of existence seems like a bad idea, and I will be voting “no” on the proposal.  Here is why.

Why I care about VSECU

VSECU – which I first joined when serving a judicial clerkship at the Vermont Supreme Court in 1997 – is one of the five credit unions to which I belong.  I have only one rule when it comes to financial services:  I don’t do business with banks, at least not voluntarily.

Investor-owned banks are in business to extract profits from their customers.  I have always wanted to share my financial resources with my neighbors (or fellow employees), and I would like them to share their resources with me.  A credit union is a financial institution that exists to help my neighbors and me do that, in a manner that we democratically control for our mutual benefit.

My First Loan

Thus, when I needed to buy my first car almost 40 years ago because my employer, Associated Press, was transferring me to a place (Portland, Maine) where I could not function without an automobile, I secured my first-ever loan from the AP Employees’ Credit Union. I was still a kid, fresh out of school, and not terribly desirable as a credit risk.

But a loan committee comprised of my fellow AP employees understood the need as well as the high likelihood that a young wire service newsperson would not renege on a promise to his colleagues.  So, I got the loan.

Unfortunately, the AP credit union is long gone. Almost every credit union to which I have ever joined since then is indistinguishable from a bank.  The neighbor-to-neighbor, colleague-to-colleague quality is gone.  The organs of democracy have atrophied, and annual elections have become an empty formality.

There is only one exception, and it’s the Vermont State Employees Credit Union.  Over the years, it has taken the idea of democratic member control seriously.  It is the only credit union to which I have ever belonged that actively and enthusiastically promotes its annual election process.

What Beats Jet-Skis and Snowmobiles?

I don’t think it’s a coincidence that the VSECU is the only one of my five credit unions that actively promotes “green” lending.  While other credit unions send me flyers and e-mails urging me to borrow money for leisure purposes (snowmobiles, jet-skis, extra cars), VSECU understands that what consumers really ought to be doing is borrowing money to make their homes both more energy efficient and self-sufficient.

This resonates profoundly for me, as the state official in New Hampshire (the Consumer Advocate) whose job is to advocate for the interests of residential ratepayers.  Electricity and fuel prices are soaring right now, a result of our over-reliance on natural gas and other fossil fuels.  But consumers are reluctant to borrow money to pay for things they can’t see, hold or drive around.

A credit union that is serious about the welfare of its member-owners will strive to educate them and encourage them to make long-term commitments to things that will make them wealthier and more secure over the long run.

The Case for the Merger – Platitudes and Generalities

Thus I was frankly shocked to learn earlier this year that the board of the VSECU had voted unanimously to merge our democracy-and-green-energy loving credit union into the much larger (and much more bank-like) New England Federal Credit Union (NEFCU).  It seemed so out of character.

Naturally I assumed there were facts and circumstances of which I was unaware.  When I inquired, I was told that to the extent I am entitled to information that would help inform my vote, the insights would be contained in the official document I then received.  It is entitled “Notice of Special Meeting of the Members of Vermont State Employees Credit Union and Plan of Merger.”

The official Notice document does indeed make a compelling case for the merger – but only if you are willing to accept platitudes and generalities.

In the section of the Notice labeled “Reasons for merger,” VSECU states that “both credit unions are financially strong” but “face many of the same obstacles and challenges, including an aging Vermont population with slow to no growth; rapid and accelerated technology changes; environmental, economic and social change; and increased competition from out-of-state financial institutions.”

Fair enough, but this begs the question of what advantages the merger would confer as the new mega-CU seeks to confront those challenges.  Answer:  having swallowed up VSECU, the former NEFCU will be “better equipped to tackle the challenges facing financial institutions in a rural state.”

The Notice goes on to promise “economies of scale and combined resources” that will lead to unspecified “further improvement and opportunities” in eight listed areas – everything from “expanded branch and ATM access,” to “improved homeownership and financing initiatives to reduce energy consumption and environmental impact,” to “favorable rates and lower fees to members.”

These justifications are unpersuasive.  Note the lack of promises or concrete examples of things that VSECU cannot simply do as a stand-alone billion-dollar credit union.

Economies of Scale and the CU Merger Frenzy

The “economies of scale” claim is especially troubling.  The usual route to merger-related economies of scale is for the newer and bigger organization to trim staff to avoid duplication of effort.  But in this instance the Notice promises that “all employees will keep their jobs and current salaries as part of the proposed merger.”

Economies of scale are indeed a ‘thing’ in the world of credit unions, but the proposed demise of the VSECU stands out.  According to the trade publication Credit Union Times, the National Credit Union Administration (NCUA) approved no fewer than 86 credit union mergers during the first half of 2022 – overall, credit unions are stampeding to combine with one another – but the proposed VSECU deal is bigger than all but one of them.  And in that biggest deal of the first half of 2022, VSECU’s New York counterpart – the $5.5 billion State Employees Credit Union – is taking over the smaller Cap Com Federal Credit Union.

Most of the credit union mergers in the current frenzy involve much smaller institutions.  And, indeed, the consensus among industry insiders is that a credit union with less than $300 million in assets should indeed consider merging with another CU in the interest of amassing the resources to confront technological change and industry competition.

A $1.1 billion institution like VSECU already has, or already should have, all the economies of scale it needs.

Not a Merger of Equals-Equity Transfer

Although VSECU claims the proposed deal is not a takeover of our CU by the NEFCU, here is how you know that claim is wrong.  If this were truly a merger of equals, then the members of both CUs would have to approve it.  Because VSECU members are surrendering control of their financial institution, they and only they get to vote.

If you don’t believe me, consider what this deal would look like if both institutions were publicly traded, investor-owned businesses.  The board of the ‘new’ credit union will have 11 members, six of which are from NEFCU.  In the for-profit would, that would be considered a surrender of control – effectively, a takeover.

The $3 billion NEFCU intends to pay no consideration whatsoever to the current owners of the VSECU for the right to control what used to be their credit union.  According to the latest 2021 balance sheet in the required Notice, VSECU members have built up $95.3 million in equity over the years – not a dime would be paid out to them in exchange for surrendering control of their credit union to its bigger and more bank-like Vermont competitor.

Such a payout would be easy enough to achieve by liquidating some of the $434 million in investments the combined credit union would have, above and beyond the $2.5 billion in loans on the books.

But, instead, the proponents of the merger are asking the members of the VSECU to surrender control of their credit union to a former competitor for free.  No board of an investor-owned business would ever dare recommend such a proposal to its shareholders.

What’s at Stake?  The Very Soul of the Credit Union Movement

In a sense, the impending vote on the takeover of VSECU should be seen as a referendum on the future of the U.S. credit union movement itself.

As I have already noted, VSECU stands out as a credit union that takes its cooperative identity seriously, along with its fidelity to the Cooperative Principles – the key principle being democratic member control.  The New England Federal Credit Union is just another credit union that is content to operate like a bank does.

Why is this so important to me?  After all, I no longer live in Vermont.  I belong to four other credit unions and I even serve on the supervisory committee of one of them.  So I could easily just sign and turn my back on VSECU.

I care about this because of something said to me by the CEO of the credit union on whose supervisory committee I serve.  When I first met the CEO, I told him about how much democratic member control, and the other six Cooperative Principles, meant to me as a volunteer credit union leader.

In response, the CEO pulled out a cell phone and waved it in my face.  The CEO mentioned an adult daughter – this executive’s go-to proxy for a typical credit union member.  “Do you know what she cares about?,” asked the CEO.  “It’s not voting.  It’s this.”

The “this” to which the CEO was referring was the credit union’s phone app that allows members to do their banking from the device they carry around with them in their pockets and purses.

If that’s truly what all of this comes down to, then I give up and so should everyone else in the credit union movement.  Credit unions can and should strive to keep up with the convenience-enabling technology deployed by the mega-banks.

But if credit unions can’t deliver value to members above and beyond the convenience that for-profit financial institutions already offer, there is no reason for them to exist.

In other words, if the $1.1 billion Vermont State Employees Credit Union cannot stand alone, cannot be just as convenient as a bank while giving members more value and more control than a for-profit financial institution can, then combining with another credit union is a waste of time.  Instead, the Board of VSECU should just pay out that $95 million in member equity and turn over its loan portfolio, its deposits, and its checking accounts to some ultra-convenient bank.

Do Not Succumb to Cynicism and Fear

Indeed, maybe we no longer deserve VSECU as we have come to know and love it.  Maybe we are unworthy of a democratically controlled financial institution.

When VSECU first announced the merger, and the skeptics began speaking out, the Board and management circled the wagons instead of treating member activism the way it deserves to be treated – as a welcome expression of commitment to the institution they collectively own.

In that sense, the leaders of VSECU are no different than the board and management of every other cooperative that has had to deal with members who flex their ‘democratic control’ muscles and question their elected representatives.

Maybe it’s just human nature – but, if so, then maybe “democratic member control,” and other Cooperative Principles like “education, training, and information” (which suggests members should be fully informed about the business realities their cooperatives confront), are just outdated platitudes.

We live in cynical times.  So, it is not surprising that, even in Vermont, both the proponents and the opponents of the buy-out of VSECU by a bigger credit union question the motives and integrity of the other side in this discussion.  I refuse to succumb to that cynicism.

Thus, I am grateful to the VSECU Board of Directors for presenting this proposed merger to us for a vote, and for making its best case for why we should ratify the deal.  They, in turn, should understand my frustration over not having access to all of the information they had at their disposal as they deliberated.

Lacking that information, or any other compelling reason to vote in favor of consigning the Vermont State Employees Credit Union and all it stands for to oblivion, I vote “no.”  I urge my fellow VSECU members to do likewise, in the hope that the VSECU of the future will look less like a bank and more like a cooperative.

If this credit union, with its commitment to cooperative culture and public service, cannot survive and thrive as an independent, community-owned, democratically controlled financial institution, then all is lost.  I refuse to believe that.

END

Donald Kreis, a “George Bailey” Credit Union member:

He has served since 2016 as New Hampshire’s Consumer Advocate, heading up a small but feisty state agency whose purpose is to advocate on behalf of the interests of residential utility customers before the state’s PUC and other bodies (including FERC).  Previously he served as general counsel at the New Hampshire PUC, as a hearing officer at the Vermont PUC, and as a professor at Vermont Law School, where he still teaches on a part-time adjunct basis. 

Prior to becoming a lawyer, he was a full time journalist for nearly a decade, first with Associated Press and then at the fabled newsweekly Maine Times.

He served for eleven years on the board of the nation’s second biggest retail food co-op (the Hanover Consumer Cooperative Society) including three years as president.  He was a nine-year trustee of what is now known as the Cooperative Fund of the Northeast, a CDFI that loans money to cooperatives.

He believes credit unions ought to live by the cooperative principles – and take democratic member control seriously.

His custom when joining a new credit union is to follow up about a week later with a request for the CU’s bylaws and express interest in seeking election to the board.  That has inevitably been met with something on the continuum between bewilderment and hostility, except at the CU that invited him to join its ALCO and Supervisory committees.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Lo’ How a Rose

Joy and the rose–Advent themes.   With the rose the eternal symbol for love and  faith.  Here is a recording of Michael Praetorius’ anthem by the Harvard Glee Club.

(https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-sNuXNcNdnM)

Roses abundant on Sunday.

“The Only Gift We Have to Give”

Early Saturday morning December 8th, 1984  Bucky Sebastian and Mary Beth Doyle, two NCUA colleagues, came by to give me a ride to Dulles Airport.  We were going to Las Vegas for the largest credit union conference ever.

All state and federal examiners were together initially, then joined by over 2,000 credit union folk. It was a big deal, a capstone event, for celebrating a new era of credit union success.

Mary Ann had asked her mother, Barbara Ballmer, to come and help out with our two teenagers for the week I would be away.  She got up, made  breakfast and talked with Bucky and Mary Beth when they stopped in.

Late that night, December 9th, the phone woke me in my Las Vegas hotel room. Mary Ann had died at Sibley hospital.  Her 4 ½ year battle with breast cancer was over.

We never talked about death.  I felt that was like giving in to the struggle.  She knew how sick she was, but never complained.  Her dad was a doctor. He died before I knew Mary Ann.  He had sent her away when his cancer was near the end.

Twenty years earlier, in April 1964, she wrote him when learning of his situation:  “Pop, take care of yourself and keep your chin up.  Cancer seems like a dreadful thing, but I maintain if there is a will, there is a way. I know you won’t let this get you down if you can possible help it.

I admire you and love you not only because you are my father but because of everything you have done and that you stand for.   My ultimate goal in life is to be able to live up to all that you have taught me and do and contribute in my own way as you are doing in yours.”  And she did.

In her own quiet way Mary Ann had prepared us for this event.   All the Christmas shopping and wrapping was done.  The new bikes for the girls were hidden in the garage.   Presents had been sent to my parents, her sister and brother, and great grandma Filson.  She had baked a half dozen of her favorite dark molasses fruit cake, wrapped the loaves in cheese cloth with rum, to age until they could be given as gifts.

Lara had just made the varsity basketball team as a freshman in high school.  Alix was doing morning swim workouts and playing piano and singing in chorus.  Both had run in the YMCA’s Thanksgiving Turkey trot.  We watched.

The Christmas tree was up with stockings on the fireplace mantel.  The new wallpaper in the hallway was finished and the laundry room cleaned and painted. Her Japanese inspired garden in the back yard was planted to have some color all year round. This was the time for the very deep red finger leaf  maple and red berries on the nandina.

Signs and sounds of the season were all around.  I was upset the world went on as normal when I just felt a deep black hole.  Only later did I learn that Ed Callahan, NCUA Chairman, had opened the national conference with a moment of silence for Mary Ann.

One conversation  I remember that December night was talking on the phone with Lara who assured me that everything was OK. Mary Ann, she said, was with her Father.

The first of two Memorial services was December 17th at Chevy Chase Presbyterian Church.  The second was in Wilmette, from where we moved to Bethesda three years earlier.  The minister at both was Wally Moore who had known the Ballmer family when he was in Midland, MI and had gone to McCormick Seminary with my dad. He was the minister at First Presbyterian when we walked into the Wilmette church in the winter of 1974.  His life had been intwined with both of our families.

He described Mary Ann’s unique skill of creating order and beauty in all aspects of living, including house and garden.  He talked of her deep relationships forged out of concern meeting need.  A person described her as one of “God’s green thumbs” who even though when life was ebbing away, could reach out to others and affirm life in them.

In the mid summer of 1983 or ’84, a stranger came to our door. He was a young French student traveling around America as a tourist.  His local contact for the Washington area had been lost.  All his belongings were in his backpack.

Mary Ann invited him in.  We shared our meals, helped with errands as he rested up.  He continued on several days later.  That fall when he returned to France he wrote Mary Ann several letters about his journey, what he was doing now, and thanks.

Wally Moore closed his remarks saying, Mary Ann understood mercy, compassion and forgiveness. . .qualities which make it possible for us to believe.  In Advent, we ask what will our blessing be?  We will be blessed by that blessing which Mary Ann received and in which she believed—that the only gift we have to give in this world is ourselves.

Glimpses of Mary Ann before returning to America

Mary Ann and I lived in three countries prior to settling down in America.

She got a job at Dow Chemical, in London, so she could be near when I was at Oxford.  She is at the National Gallery on Trafalgar Square in this 1967 photo.

We moved to Japan when I was assigned to USS Windham County, LST-1170, home ported at Yokosuka Naval base.  She took the two children to play on the beach in Hayama where we lived the first 15 months with a Japanese family’s quarters while I was deployed. That’s Mt Fuji in the background hovering like a cloud.

That three years was followed by another sojourn in Sydney, Australia where I worked for the First National Bank of Chicago.  Here they feed a joey, young kangaroo.

She made a home in every country in which we lived filled with lasting friendships.

When Goodwill Becomes Ill-will (part II of II)

In this second blog I look at examples of goodwill. What are  some of the financial and regulatory implications of this ever increasing intangible asset?

The following are the  34 credit unions (out of 277) with the largest amounts  of good will at September 30, 2022.

The goodwill net worth ratio, column three, compares the size of this intangible asset to net worth. This ratio ranges from a high of 31% for Chartway to a low of .32% for Navy FCU.  There is no regulatory limit on how high this percentage can be.

While I do not know the details of every credit union listed,  most of these goodwill leaders occur  from either whole bank purchases or mergers with other credit unions.  The first two names, GreenState and State Employees (NY) are examples of each activity.

The Regulatory Situation

As discussed in Part I goodwill is an intangible asset representing  future economic benefits arising from assets acquired in a business combination,  traditionally mergers or purchases.

It is not part of equity or retained earnings from a presentation standpoint.

Goodwill lacks physical substance.  It is an accounting estimate based on assumptions used to project potential future value. Unlike mortgage servicing assets which are also an intangible, goodwill can’t be bought or sold.

If credit union A merges with credit union B which has goodwill on its books, credit union A receives no benefit.  Credit union B’s goodwill is devalued to zero. It is not carried over onto credit union A’s books.

As the underlying  benefits  are realized, impairments to goodwill can be recorded.  A credit union can also amortize goodwill over ten years.  In both instances those charges flow through the income statement and reduce  retained earnings.

In either option, all goodwill must be assessed for impairment at least annually.

Goodwill and Net Worth

For credit unions following CCULR:   Goodwill is not part of Net Worth (numerator) for ratio purposes but is included in total assets (denominator) to determine the net worth ratio (NWR).  Goodwill balances must be less than 2% of total assets to opt into CCULR.

For credit unions subject to RBC:  Goodwill is a reduction from the RBC Numerator and also from the Denominator.

Goodwill Uncertainties

In corporate America public companies report over $4 trillion of goodwill on balance sheets, primarily from mergers and acquisitions.

While accountants agree on what goodwill is, how to value that goodwill after it’s passed onto the buyer’s ledger sparks plenty of argument.

There is much uncertainty about forecasting goodwill’s future benefit for a firm – it involves more judgement calls than many accountants are comfortable with. And while goodwill is listed as an asset on the balance sheet, is it really worth its stated value? What if it was a bad buy at an inflated price in the first place?

In June 2022 FASB announced it had given up on a four-year effort to simplify goodwill accounting determinations.  The current annual impairment test remains the requirement versus a  straight line annual amortization approach.

The Credit Union Goodwill Challenges

When creating goodwill, credit unions have all of the same accounting challenges as public companies but none of the checks and balances .

The ongoing difficulty is assessing post acquisition performance to see if  it is meeting the values projected when the goodwill was first established.

In cooperatives this  is made much more difficult because in both mergers and acquisitions, there is virtually no public disclosure of an acquisition’s costs  let alone  future projections.

For purchases, credit unions rarely report the total price paid(except when a bank is publicly traded)  the broker and transaction fees,  the future impact on ROI or ROE and the longer term performance goals to be achieved.   For mergers, no details of a combined operational plan are provided just the asserted advantage of bigger size and more capital.

Most large mergers and whole bank purchases take years for operational and business integration to be fully realized.   These transactions generally end relationships  and market presence created from years of continuous service.  That history  and local advantage is now gone.

In some large credit union mergers a whole new corporate brand and identity are part of the combined entity’s future business plan.   Shedding past connections to create a whole new market persona would seem to undermine a valuable legacy.

No Accountability

Credit union mergers and bank purchases are not market based transactions.  They are private deals negotiated for mutual advantage by CEO’s and then announced to members. Because there is no transparency or numbers provided,  little future monitoring possible.

Both transactions create  goodwill but the credit union is playing with members’ house money.   If the deal works out after three or four years, whatever benefits of expansion have been achieved are trumpeted as the result.   If  the bank purchase was overpaid, there is no stock price or performance metric that would highlight this misjudgment.

The bank owners are paid a cash premium for their shares from the members’ savings. They have left  with cash in hand. If a transaction is poorly priced or managed, then the goodwill is written down from  members’ existing capital.

The goodwill concept allows managers to pay premiums for purchases absent any performance goals.   In a merger, goodwill in excess of book net worth just enhances the  ongoing credit union’s capital but members receive nil for this value.

Transforming Goodwill Into Ill-will

When leaders operate in a closed environment, unconstrained by member or board governance, personal ambition can run amok.

With no meaningful credit union disclosures to members or the public in either mergers or bank purchases, managers are free to wheel and deal.   A number of CEO’s have been very public about their “nonorganic” growth plans.   Goodwill is the intangible asset created to make things appear OK regardless of price or terms.

The animal spirits of capitalism are quickly embraced versus the cooperative focus on members’ well being.  But unlike truly competitive markets, there is no stock price or market assessments monitoring  performance.

When goodwill accounts begin to approach 10% or higher of net worth, the credit union has disguised its ability to produce operating earnings.   To keep the game going, more purchases and goodwill are pursued, always justified by scale and more diversification.

At some point the economy turns, the acquired assets become overvalued and members are given the short stick as dividends are reduced to keep up the ROA goals. In several of the credit unions  listed dividend payments were reduced in 2022 versus 2021 to sustain ROA even though short term rates have risen by over 3%.

Staff layoffs are another indication of overcommitments.  Examiners or accountants  will start to question the goodwill asset’s value.

The goodwill that underwrites cooperatives can quickly turn to ill-will.  When members realize their collective legacy in mergers was transferred to solely benefit senior managers, the loss of confidence will undermine both the new entity and the cooperative system’s reputation for fair dealing.

When the out of state or out of market bank purchase shows no growth, the tactic of buying market share begins to fail.

The facade of goodwill falls away for both the credit union and the members.   Once gone, it is lost forever.  That is what intangible means.