Month: September 2025

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An Anthem for 9/11 and Today

Words from Into the Fire by Bruce Springsteen.

Into the Fire

The sky was falling

And streaked with blood

I heard you calling me

Then you disappeared into the dust

Up the stairs, into the fire

Yeah, up the stairs, into the fire

I need your kiss

But love and duty called you some place higher

Somewhere up the stairs, into the fire

May your strength give us strength

May your faith give us faith

May your hope give us hope

May your love give us love… 

(https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OM6lw40VPLg)

By Dr. Andrew Roth, Booknotes #211:

What cannot be permitted to be lost is the heroism and sacrifice of those who ran not away but into danger that day to try to save others. Like Fr. Mychal Judge OFM, Franciscan friar, priest, and chaplain to the New York City Fire Department. Fr. Judge is an alumnus of St. Bonaventure University . . . Fr. Judge is the first official victim of 9/11 – Death Certificate No. 1. He ran into the burning buildings to give aid, comfort, and last rites to “his guys” the firefighters of FDNY. His daily prayer was “Lord, take me where you want me to go; let me meet who you want me to meet; tell me what you want me to say; and keep me out of your way.”

My wife Joan dined at the Windows of the World atop the World Trade Center on the evening of September 10th.  The morning of September 11 she was participating in a NABE economic conference at the Marriott World Trade Center.   She walked to the Hudson river, crossed to New Jersey by ferry, and joined four strangers  renting a car to drive home to DC.

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On the Waterfront

Lots of conflicting views on  the US economy.  Was discussing the prospect of state or local funding for an historic restoration project with a retired property developer yesterday.

He had moved to Maryland’s Eastern  shore from Montgomery County where he had many development projects. And of course financial ups and downs and many “interactions” with local and state government regulators.

Here is his observation from one indicator of the state’s economy.  Accurate for the entire situation or just anecdotal, I don’t know.  But it does remind us that as in  politics, all economic issues are ln the first instance local.

You’re right on. State resources??? I think the state declares bankruptcy in 2 years.
I drive across the Bay bridge a lot. Before Covid, always 10-15 tankers/container ships waiting at anchor south of the bridge to get into the port at Baltimore. Covid? Dropped to 3-5 boats waiting.
After Covid it picked right back up to 10-15. The port even retooled and floated in a $400 million  crane system that barely fit under the bridge. Everything was booming.
Now,  zilch….nada.. no boats, nothing waiting to unload.
The cost for that $400 million  crane to sit idle makes me cringe. The owners will go under, the bank that financed it will get hurt, and the loss of employment on top of those costs. Then add in the loss of tax revenues to the state and city and the loss of revenue to the truckers and rail systems every single day will add up.
I do not see resolution.
I see destruction.
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Which Members to Serve In a Bifurcated Economy?

In today’s uncertain economy some are doing quite well.  Others are worried about their future.  An analysis from  Louisiana Corporate’s September 2025 Economic & Financial Digest  describes this as the “bifurcated economy”:

“One of the most under recognized trends since the Covidpandemic is the increased bifurcation of the U.S. economy. High income households have thrived, thanks mainly to surging stock and home prices that have greatly enhanced the net worth of this cohort.

“Conversely, lower income households have fared less well, particularly after the generous pandemic related stimulus payments ran out. This cohort has relied primarily on income growth, which has notched decent gains early in the pandemic recovery amid labor shortages but has since tapered off as the economy has slowed. Indeed, recent data show that wage gains of lower-paid workers are not keeping pace with that of higher earners.

“Importantly, lower income households are likely to be more affected by the impact of tariffs because they spend a disproportionate share of their income on the most affected goods. What’s more, they have less of a savings cushion to withstand the hit to incomes that the tariffs on these goods impart.

“. . .wealthier households spend a larger share of their incomes on services and, hence, are less exposed to the tariff impact. They can finance their discretionary spending out of wealth gains and their larger savings cushions.

While a small fraction of the population, high-income households account for more than 50 percent of total spending. That means, of course, that economic growth is more dependent on the drivers of wealth – the stock market and house prices. That’s a positive influence when stock prices and housing values are rising, but a big risk if, and when, they sputter.

The Consumer  is Still Spending

Here’s how the bifurcation affects affects consumer spending from last week’s  Marketplace broadcast ( link) Consumers are feeling pessimistic about the economy, but don’t expect them to stop spending gave this analysis:

The Conference Board reported Tuesday its Consumer Confidence Index fell in August. Americans are getting less optimistic about their future income, and they aren’t sanguine about business and labor-market conditions going forward. In fact, both of those metrics in the Conference Board survey are sitting below the threshold that typically signals a recession is coming.

That lines up with the University of Michigan’s index of consumer sentiment, which deteriorated this month — from a level that was already pretty mediocre. . .. And yet, consumers won’t necessarily be pulling back on spending and hunkering down at home in a miasma of gloom and doom. . .

Consumers are also worried that tariffs will drive up prices and squeeze household finances. They say they plan to spend less going forward.

“For big-ticket items, but also for services, like going on vacation, going to restaurants,” said Conference Board analyst Stephanie Guichard. 

Expect these plans to be more frugal? Guichard of the Conference Board said we’ve heard them before.  “I mean like a year ago, they were telling us they were going to be cautious, and at the end of the day they were not,” she said.

Instead consumers kept spending it up. 

“And the main reason is, as long as U.S. consumers have a job and have income, they tend to spend it,” said Guichard. But here’s the thing: It really matters which consumers we’re talking about.

The Challenge

How should credit unions prioritize their member service needs?

 

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A Labor Day Observation

A point of view:

Republicans have held the federal minimum wage to $7.25 for 16 years now.  At that rate, someone working 12 hours a day six days a week with no holidays, sick days, or vacation will earn $27,144 before deductions.  (source: Andrew Tobias daily column)