Chip Filson
The Seated Boxer, an iconic ancient Greek work of art, shows a grizzled veteran of the ring, equal parts resigned and ready to spring into action.
What I like is a sense of respite from competition, the powerful athletic physique and the tiredness that surrounds his humanity. Is he a winner this day? Are there more fights to go? How will his efforts be remembered?
These are questions that all of us encounter, in literal or figurative ways, in our daily efforts.
Who can credit unions help the most in this time of economic transition? What one economist calls a “bifurcated” consumer economy.
If credit unions fail to serve members facing the difficulties described below, who will?
From a Marketplace (link) report last week:
, , ,real estate data firm ATTOM reported that foreclosure activity — which includes default notices, auctions, and bank repossessions — was up 18% in August compared to a year ago. In fact, foreclosure activity on properties across the U.S. has been rising for the past six months.
It’s not up to pre-pandemic levels, but it does signal more trouble in the economy.
Home ownership is the single most important step to financial well being for the majority of Americans. Does your credit union have a program to help members who are having difficulty meeting their mortgage payments? What options do you offer?
A related but different challenge are members facing eviction from rental properties when coping with job loss or other economic crisis.
A film from March 2025 talks about the many factors contributing to evictions. There are two trailers one for the longer movie, Evicting the American Dream (link).
The second three minute trailer focuses on evictions and the economic forces driving this process. (link) Most impotantly this short excerpt shows the impact on the consumer’s credit report as well as all those listed on the eviction notice, often all the family including children.
Credit unions were formed to provide an option for those on the margins of the economy supported by the participation from the whole community including those who are doing well.
When was the last time your credit union loaned to a member who had an eviction notice on their credit report? How do you identify and reach out to those whose paychecks are not enough, or maybe lost?
Should we just serve those doing well who easily fall within our rule bounded services or worry about proverbial “lost sheep?”
Words from Into the Fire by Bruce Springsteen.
Into the Fire
The sky was falling
And streaked with blood
I heard you calling me
Then you disappeared into the dust
Up the stairs, into the fire
Yeah, up the stairs, into the fire
I need your kiss
But love and duty called you some place higher
Somewhere up the stairs, into the fire
May your strength give us strength
May your faith give us faith
May your hope give us hope
May your love give us love…
(https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OM6lw40VPLg)
By Dr. Andrew Roth, Booknotes #211:
What cannot be permitted to be lost is the heroism and sacrifice of those who ran not away but into danger that day to try to save others. Like Fr. Mychal Judge OFM, Franciscan friar, priest, and chaplain to the New York City Fire Department. Fr. Judge is an alumnus of St. Bonaventure University . . . Fr. Judge is the first official victim of 9/11 – Death Certificate No. 1. He ran into the burning buildings to give aid, comfort, and last rites to “his guys” the firefighters of FDNY. His daily prayer was “Lord, take me where you want me to go; let me meet who you want me to meet; tell me what you want me to say; and keep me out of your way.”
My wife Joan dined at the Windows of the World atop the World Trade Center on the evening of September 10th. The morning of September 11 she was participating in a NABE economic conference at the Marriott World Trade Center. She walked to the Hudson river, crossed to New Jersey by ferry, and joined four strangers renting a car to drive home to DC.
Lots of conflicting views on the US economy. Was discussing the prospect of state or local funding for an historic restoration project with a retired property developer yesterday.
He had moved to Maryland’s Eastern shore from Montgomery County where he had many development projects. And of course financial ups and downs and many “interactions” with local and state government regulators.
Here is his observation from one indicator of the state’s economy. Accurate for the entire situation or just anecdotal, I don’t know. But it does remind us that as in politics, all economic issues are ln the first instance local.
In today’s uncertain economy some are doing quite well. Others are worried about their future. An analysis from Louisiana Corporate’s September 2025 Economic & Financial Digest describes this as the “bifurcated economy”:
“One of the most under recognized trends since the Covidpandemic is the increased bifurcation of the U.S. economy. High income households have thrived, thanks mainly to surging stock and home prices that have greatly enhanced the net worth of this cohort.
“Conversely, lower income households have fared less well, particularly after the generous pandemic related stimulus payments ran out. This cohort has relied primarily on income growth, which has notched decent gains early in the pandemic recovery amid labor shortages but has since tapered off as the economy has slowed. Indeed, recent data show that wage gains of lower-paid workers are not keeping pace with that of higher earners.
“Importantly, lower income households are likely to be more affected by the impact of tariffs because they spend a disproportionate share of their income on the most affected goods. What’s more, they have less of a savings cushion to withstand the hit to incomes that the tariffs on these goods impart.
“. . .wealthier households spend a larger share of their incomes on services and, hence, are less exposed to the tariff impact. They can finance their discretionary spending out of wealth gains and their larger savings cushions.
While a small fraction of the population, high-income households account for more than 50 percent of total spending. That means, of course, that economic growth is more dependent on the drivers of wealth – the stock market and house prices. That’s a positive influence when stock prices and housing values are rising, but a big risk if, and when, they sputter.
Here’s how the bifurcation affects affects consumer spending from last week’s Marketplace broadcast ( link) Consumers are feeling pessimistic about the economy, but don’t expect them to stop spending gave this analysis:
| The Conference Board reported Tuesday its Consumer Confidence Index fell in August. Americans are getting less optimistic about their future income, and they aren’t sanguine about business and labor-market conditions going forward. In fact, both of those metrics in the Conference Board survey are sitting below the threshold that typically signals a recession is coming.
That lines up with the University of Michigan’s index of consumer sentiment, which deteriorated this month — from a level that was already pretty mediocre. . .. And yet, consumers won’t necessarily be pulling back on spending and hunkering down at home in a miasma of gloom and doom. . . Consumers are also worried that tariffs will drive up prices and squeeze household finances. They say they plan to spend less going forward. “For big-ticket items, but also for services, like going on vacation, going to restaurants,” said Conference Board analyst Stephanie Guichard. Expect these plans to be more frugal? Guichard of the Conference Board said we’ve heard them before. “I mean like a year ago, they were telling us they were going to be cautious, and at the end of the day they were not,” she said. Instead consumers kept spending it up. “And the main reason is, as long as U.S. consumers have a job and have income, they tend to spend it,” said Guichard. But here’s the thing: It really matters which consumers we’re talking about. The ChallengeHow should credit unions prioritize their member service needs? |
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Once after dinner a woman and I walked past
An empty basketball court and she says,
“I played on a team my junior year in Belfast,”
And I say “Want to shoot some?” She says “Yes,”
Though she was wearing a long black dinner dress.
She kicked off her high heels and she caught
My pass and with great finesse
Drove to the baseline, jumped and shot
Swish. Two points. We played for awhile,
Man in a black suit, woman in a long black gown,
I loved her quickness and her heads-up style,
Her cool hand as she beat me hands down —
Her jumpiness, like a blackbird in the night—
Her steady eye, her feet about to take flight.
(Interupting my vacation from blogging to comment on an event today)
The most prominent leader of the free world where the country’s elected President stands up for and believes in democracy will be at the White House today.
That person is Volodymyr Zelenskyy. His people have fought the second largest army in the world to a standstill. Today he is on the front lines fighting for liberty from authoritarian rule. A cause that Americans honor on July 4 or recall from personal experiences of WW II.
His host is President Trump. Last Friday Trump gave the literal red-carpet treatment to a dictator who has been indicted for war crimes from killings in Bucha to the bombing of a building in Mariupol protecting hundreds of children. And the kidnapping of tens of thousands of Ukrainian children to convert them to Russian citizens.
In the prelude to their Friday meeting Trump set the public goal as an immediate ceasefire, or in his words, there would be immediate, severe consequences. Instead, Trump was transformed into Putin’s messenger to convince Zelenskyy to give up territory to an aggressor who wants to destroy Ukrain’s identity as a people and country.
I am ashamed by this act of political betrayal of America’s most basic political and moral values. Trump wants to get a peace prize by brokering Ukraine’s surrender.
No matter the public announcements from today’s discussions, the war will continue. There will be more talk of further meetings. As long as Trump believes words and threats will change Putin’s goals, there will be no cessation of hostilities.
Putin positioned Trump to force Zelenskyy to accept an outcome the two crafted without his presence. Trump’s pimping for Putin will fail.
Ukraine will persevere, because they know what it takes to be truly free, a spirit and cause Americans used to honor—and fight for.
Credit unions have never been a monolith—states differ, people differ, and the movement was built on distinct missions and visions coalescing under a cooperative umbrella. Yet today we’re presented with a veneer of homogeneity, as if there’s only one “right” path forward.
There’s nothing wrong with believing scale is the answer. But the bigger issue is the lack of open, rigorous debate. Too often, positions are communicated by proxy rather than by leaders stepping up to the mic, standing on a stage, or going on camera to assert their view—and defend it against alternatives with factual evidence.
Consolidation, mergers, acquisitions—if these are the strategies, say it plainly. And let’s create space for others who see the model differently to test those ideas in the open. That’s how cooperative strength was built and how it should evolve.